Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Cardinals (3-6) make the playoffs in 0.1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season. They win the NFC West 0.0% of the time and the Super Bowl 0.0%, and finish with 5.4 wins on average. That's the 15th-best playoff outlook in the NFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
NFC West race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 7-1 | 13.6 | 97.1% | 99.5% | 25.1% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5-4 | 9.5 | 1.6% | 35.8% | 0.9% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5-4 | 9.4 | 1.3% | 38.9% | 1.1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3-6 | 5.4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Cardinals remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Cardinals about 2.4 more wins in their last 8 games. Toughest: at Chiefs in Week 11 (8.4%). Most winnable: vs Eagles in Week 13 (48.7%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | Sep 13 | W 26-14 |
| 2 | vs Seattle Seahawks | Sep 20 | L 7-31 |
| 3 | @ San Francisco 49ers | Sep 27 | L 30-36 |
| 4 | @ New York Giants | Oct 4 | L 24-36 |
| 5 | vs Detroit Lions | Oct 11 | L 21-45 |
| 6 | @ Los Angeles Rams | Oct 18 | W 18-16 |
| 7 | vs Denver Broncos | Oct 25 | L 16-30 |
| 8 | @ Dallas Cowboys | Nov 1 | W 33-30 |
| 9 | @ Seattle Seahawks | Nov 8 | L 3-17 |
| 10 | vs Los Angeles Rams | Nov 15 | 20.6% |
| 11 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | Nov 22 | 8.4% |
| 12 | vs Washington Commanders | Nov 29 | 46.9% |
| 13 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | Dec 6 | 48.7% |
| 15 | vs New York Jets | Dec 20 | 44.3% |
| 16 | @ New Orleans Saints | Dec 27 | 25.2% |
| 17 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | Jan 3 | 38.0% |
| 18 | vs San Francisco 49ers | Jan 10 | 12.6% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Take Over the Cardinals →More on the Cardinals
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.