New York Jets Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Jets (2-7) make the playoffs in 0.2% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season, down 0.5 points from last week. They win the AFC East 0.0% of the time and the Super Bowl 0.0%, and finish with 5.3 wins on average. That's the 12th-best playoff outlook in the AFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
AFC East race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 7-1 | 13.4 | 97.6% | 99.9% | 13.8% |
| New England Patriots | 5-4 | 9.0 | 2.4% | 53.1% | 0.2% |
| New York Jets | 2-7 | 5.3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miami Dolphins | 1-7 | 3.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jets remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Jets about 3.3 more wins in their last 8 games. Toughest: at Bills in Week 18 (13.1%). Most winnable: at Chargers in Week 11 (62.7%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Tennessee Titans | Sep 13 | W 23-10 |
| 2 | vs Green Bay Packers | Sep 20 | L 17-20 |
| 3 | @ Detroit Lions | Sep 27 | L 24-31 |
| 4 | @ Chicago Bears | Oct 4 | L 12-23 |
| 5 | vs Cleveland Browns | Oct 11 | W 17-12 |
| 6 | @ New England Patriots | Oct 18 | L 19-26 |
| 7 | vs Miami Dolphins | Oct 25 | L 25-28 |
| 8 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | Nov 1 | L 33-38 |
| 9 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | Nov 8 | L 12-35 |
| 10 | vs Buffalo Bills | Nov 15 | 23.8% |
| 11 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | Nov 22 | 62.7% |
| 12 | @ Miami Dolphins | Nov 29 | 54.6% |
| 14 | vs Denver Broncos | Dec 13 | 38.0% |
| 15 | @ Arizona Cardinals | Dec 20 | 55.7% |
| 16 | vs New England Patriots | Dec 27 | 45.7% |
| 17 | vs Minnesota Vikings | Jan 3 | 36.2% |
| 18 | @ Buffalo Bills | Jan 10 | 13.1% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Take Over the Jets →More on the Jets
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.