Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Browns (5-4) make the playoffs in 20.1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season, down 3.5 points from last week. They win the AFC North 1.2% of the time and the Super Bowl 0.0%, and finish with 8.3 wins on average. That's the 9th-best playoff outlook in the AFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
AFC North race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | 12.7 | 74.4% | 98.7% | 7.2% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 11.2 | 24.3% | 88.9% | 1.5% |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 8.3 | 1.2% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | 7.2 | 0.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Browns remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Browns about 3.3 more wins in their last 8 games. Toughest: at Bengals in Week 18 (16.2%). Most winnable: vs Colts in Week 17 (65.9%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Sep 13 | L 10-34 |
| 2 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Sep 20 | W 23-19 |
| 3 | vs Carolina Panthers | Sep 27 | W 21-18 |
| 4 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | Oct 1 | W 27-24 |
| 5 | @ New York Jets | Oct 11 | L 12-17 |
| 6 | vs Baltimore Ravens | Oct 18 | W 13-10 |
| 7 | @ Tennessee Titans | Oct 25 | W 27-24 |
| 8 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Nov 1 | L 6-27 |
| 9 | @ New Orleans Saints | Nov 8 | L 22-23 |
| 10 | vs Houston Texans | Nov 15 | 39.2% |
| 12 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | Nov 29 | 54.9% |
| 13 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | Dec 6 | 28.6% |
| 14 | vs Atlanta Falcons | Dec 13 | 58.5% |
| 15 | @ New York Giants | Dec 20 | 30.1% |
| 16 | @ Baltimore Ravens | Dec 27 | 39.7% |
| 17 | vs Indianapolis Colts | Jan 3 | 65.9% |
| 18 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | Jan 10 | 16.2% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.