Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Panthers (3-5) make the playoffs in 20.7% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season, down 3.5 points from last week. They win the NFC South 20.3% of the time and the Super Bowl 0.1%, and finish with 6.9 wins on average. That's the 10th-best playoff outlook in the NFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
NFC South race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3-6 | 7.9 | 59.7% | 59.8% | 1.3% |
| Carolina Panthers | 3-5 | 6.9 | 20.3% | 20.7% | 0.1% |
| New Orleans Saints | 3-5 | 6.5 | 12.1% | 12.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3-6 | 6.1 | 7.9% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
Panthers remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Panthers about 3.9 more wins in their last 9 games. Toughest: at Vikings in Week 13 (27.1%). Most winnable: vs Falcons in Week 18 (63.8%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chicago Bears | Sep 13 | L 37-59 |
| 2 | @ Atlanta Falcons | Sep 20 | W 34-3 |
| 3 | @ Cleveland Browns | Sep 27 | L 18-21 |
| 4 | vs Detroit Lions | Oct 4 | W 32-26 |
| 6 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | Oct 18 | W 25-14 |
| 7 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Oct 25 | L 13-43 |
| 8 | @ Green Bay Packers | Oct 29 | L 19-27 |
| 9 | vs Denver Broncos | Nov 8 | L 21-26 |
| 10 | @ New Orleans Saints | Nov 15 | 43.6% |
| 11 | vs Baltimore Ravens | Nov 22 | 63.1% |
| 12 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Nov 30 | 29.4% |
| 13 | @ Minnesota Vikings | Dec 6 | 27.1% |
| 14 | vs New Orleans Saints | Dec 13 | 63.2% |
| 15 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | Dec 20 | 33.2% |
| 16 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Dec 27 | 27.1% |
| 17 | vs Seattle Seahawks | Jan 3 | 40.2% |
| 18 | vs Atlanta Falcons | Jan 10 | 63.8% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Take Over the Panthers →More on the Panthers
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.