Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Steelers (6-2) make the playoffs in 88.9% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season, up 2.4 points from last week. They win the AFC North 24.3% of the time and the Super Bowl 1.5%, and finish with 11.2 wins on average. That's the 6th-best playoff outlook in the AFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
AFC North race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | 12.7 | 74.4% | 98.7% | 7.2% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 11.2 | 24.3% | 88.9% | 1.5% |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 8.3 | 1.2% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | 7.2 | 0.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Steelers remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Steelers about 5.3 more wins in their last 9 games. Toughest: at Jaguars in Week 14 (20.8%). Most winnable: vs Ravens in Week 15 (76.0%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Atlanta Falcons | Sep 13 | W 20-13 |
| 2 | @ New England Patriots | Sep 20 | L 3-20 |
| 3 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | Sep 27 | W 30-27 |
| 4 | @ Cleveland Browns | Oct 1 | L 24-27 |
| 5 | vs Indianapolis Colts | Oct 11 | W 34-22 |
| 6 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Oct 18 | W 26-19 |
| 7 | vs New Orleans Saints (neutral site) | Oct 25 | W 16-10 |
| 8 | vs Cleveland Browns | Nov 1 | W 27-6 |
| 10 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | Nov 15 | 31.1% |
| 11 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | Nov 22 | 68.7% |
| 12 | vs Denver Broncos | Nov 27 | 60.9% |
| 13 | vs Houston Texans | Dec 6 | 60.5% |
| 14 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Dec 14 | 20.8% |
| 15 | vs Baltimore Ravens | Dec 20 | 76.0% |
| 16 | vs Carolina Panthers | Dec 27 | 72.9% |
| 17 | @ Tennessee Titans | Jan 3 | 73.7% |
| 18 | @ Baltimore Ravens | Jan 10 | 60.4% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.