LAR

Los Angeles Rams Playoff Chances 2026

Entering Week 10, the Rams (5-4) make the playoffs in 38.9% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season, down 4.3 points from last week. They win the NFC West 1.3% of the time and the Super Bowl 1.1%, and finish with 9.4 wins on average. That's the 8th-best playoff outlook in the NFC.

Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.

Make playoffs
38.9%
▼ 4.3 this week
Win NFC West
1.3%
#1 seed
0.3%
Win NFC
3.0%
Win Super Bowl
1.1%
Projected wins
9.4
Now 5-4

NFC West race

TeamRecordProj. WWin Div.PlayoffsWin SB
San Francisco 49ers7-113.697.1%99.5%25.1%
Seattle Seahawks5-49.51.6%35.8%0.9%
Los Angeles Rams5-49.41.3%38.9%1.1%
Arizona Cardinals3-65.40.0%0.1%0.0%

Rams remaining schedule and win chances

The model gives the Rams about 4.4 more wins in their last 8 games. Toughest: at 49ers in Week 14 (28.2%). Most winnable: at Cardinals in Week 10 (79.4%).

WeekOpponentDateResult / win chance
1vs San Francisco 49ers (neutral site)Sep 10L 7-27
2vs New York GiantsSep 21W 28-6
3@ Denver BroncosSep 27L 26-30
4@ Philadelphia EaglesOct 4W 24-20
5vs Buffalo BillsOct 12L 34-37
6vs Arizona CardinalsOct 18L 16-18
7@ Las Vegas RaidersOct 25W 35-21
8vs Los Angeles ChargersNov 1W 24-9
9@ Washington CommandersNov 8W 20-13
10@ Arizona CardinalsNov 1579.4%
12vs Green Bay PackersNov 2564.8%
13vs Kansas City ChiefsDec 351.0%
14@ San Francisco 49ersDec 1328.2%
15vs Dallas CowboysDec 2069.1%
16@ Seattle SeahawksDec 2542.6%
17@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersJan 348.8%
18vs Seattle SeahawksJan 1060.5%

Win chances account for home field and current injuries.

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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.