Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Colts (2-7) make the playoffs in 0.1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season. They win the AFC South 0.0% of the time and the Super Bowl 0.0%, and finish with 4.8 wins on average. That's the 13th-best playoff outlook in the AFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
AFC South race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-2 | 13.0 | 98.0% | 99.7% | 22.2% |
| Houston Texans | 3-5 | 8.5 | 2.0% | 26.8% | 0.3% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-7 | 4.8 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tennessee Titans | 1-7 | 3.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Colts remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Colts about 2.8 more wins in their last 8 games. Toughest: vs Jaguars in Week 18 (14.9%). Most winnable: vs Dolphins in Week 10 (66.7%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Baltimore Ravens | Sep 13 | L 23-41 |
| 2 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | Sep 20 | L 30-33 |
| 3 | vs Houston Texans | Sep 27 | W 19-17 |
| 4 | vs Washington Commanders (neutral site) | Oct 4 | W 30-13 |
| 5 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Oct 11 | L 22-34 |
| 6 | vs Tennessee Titans | Oct 18 | L 20-26 |
| 7 | @ Minnesota Vikings | Oct 25 | L 10-16 |
| 8 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Nov 1 | L 7-42 |
| 9 | vs Dallas Cowboys | Nov 8 | L 23-27 |
| 10 | vs Miami Dolphins | Nov 15 | 66.7% |
| 11 | @ Houston Texans | Nov 19 | 18.5% |
| 12 | vs New York Giants | Nov 29 | 38.9% |
| 14 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | Dec 13 | 40.3% |
| 15 | @ Tennessee Titans | Dec 20 | 47.3% |
| 16 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | Dec 27 | 23.0% |
| 17 | @ Cleveland Browns | Jan 3 | 34.1% |
| 18 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | Jan 10 | 14.9% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.