Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Bengals (6-2) make the playoffs in 98.7% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season, up 3.6 points from last week. They win the AFC North 74.4% of the time and the Super Bowl 7.2%, and finish with 12.7 wins on average. That's the 3rd-best playoff outlook in the AFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
AFC North race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | 12.7 | 74.4% | 98.7% | 7.2% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 11.2 | 24.3% | 88.9% | 1.5% |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 8.3 | 1.2% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | 7.2 | 0.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Bengals remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Bengals about 6.7 more wins in their last 9 games. Toughest: vs Chiefs in Week 14 (56.9%). Most winnable: vs Browns in Week 18 (83.8%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Sep 13 | W 33-27 |
| 2 | @ Houston Texans | Sep 20 | W 20-6 |
| 3 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Sep 27 | L 27-30 |
| 4 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | Oct 4 | L 17-22 |
| 5 | @ Miami Dolphins | Oct 11 | W 31-24 |
| 7 | @ Baltimore Ravens | Oct 25 | W 35-13 |
| 8 | vs Tennessee Titans | Nov 1 | W 43-36 |
| 9 | vs Atlanta Falcons (neutral site) | Nov 8 | W 34-17 |
| 10 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | Nov 15 | 68.9% |
| 11 | @ Washington Commanders | Nov 23 | 75.2% |
| 12 | vs New Orleans Saints | Nov 29 | 83.2% |
| 13 | @ Cleveland Browns | Dec 6 | 71.4% |
| 14 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | Dec 13 | 56.9% |
| 15 | @ Carolina Panthers | Dec 20 | 66.8% |
| 16 | @ Indianapolis Colts | Dec 27 | 77.0% |
| 17 | vs Baltimore Ravens | Dec 31 | 83.0% |
| 18 | vs Cleveland Browns | Jan 10 | 83.8% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.