Los Angeles Chargers Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Chargers (0-8) make the playoffs in 0.0% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season. They win the AFC West 0.0% of the time and the Super Bowl 0.0%, and finish with 1.9 wins on average. That's the 14th-best playoff outlook in the AFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
AFC West race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6-2 | 12.0 | 58.9% | 98.0% | 7.6% |
| Denver Broncos | 7-2 | 11.9 | 40.3% | 95.4% | 1.6% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4-5 | 8.0 | 0.8% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0-8 | 1.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Chargers remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Chargers about 1.9 more wins in their last 9 games. Toughest: vs 49ers in Week 15 (10.5%). Most winnable: vs Jets in Week 11 (37.3%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Arizona Cardinals | Sep 13 | L 14-26 |
| 2 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | Sep 20 | L 14-26 |
| 3 | @ Buffalo Bills | Sep 27 | L 16-24 |
| 4 | @ Seattle Seahawks | Oct 4 | L 23-30 |
| 5 | vs Denver Broncos | Oct 11 | L 17-23 |
| 6 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | Oct 18 | L 6-22 |
| 8 | @ Los Angeles Rams | Nov 1 | L 9-24 |
| 9 | vs Houston Texans | Nov 8 | L 22-44 |
| 10 | @ Baltimore Ravens | Nov 16 | 20.5% |
| 11 | vs New York Jets | Nov 22 | 37.3% |
| 12 | vs New England Patriots | Nov 29 | 27.2% |
| 13 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Dec 6 | 12.0% |
| 14 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | Dec 13 | 19.4% |
| 15 | vs San Francisco 49ers | Dec 17 | 10.5% |
| 16 | @ Miami Dolphins | Dec 27 | 34.0% |
| 17 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | Jan 3 | 13.0% |
| 18 | @ Denver Broncos | Jan 10 | 11.7% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Take Over the Chargers →More on the Chargers
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.