Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Seahawks (5-4) make the playoffs in 35.8% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season, up 2.5 points from last week. They win the NFC West 1.6% of the time and the Super Bowl 0.9%, and finish with 9.5 wins on average. That's the 9th-best playoff outlook in the NFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
NFC West race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 7-1 | 13.6 | 97.1% | 99.5% | 25.1% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5-4 | 9.5 | 1.6% | 35.8% | 0.9% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5-4 | 9.4 | 1.3% | 38.9% | 1.1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3-6 | 5.4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Seahawks remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Seahawks about 4.5 more wins in their last 8 games. Toughest: at 49ers in Week 12 (25.9%). Most winnable: at Eagles in Week 15 (70.7%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New England Patriots | Sep 9 | W 13-10 |
| 2 | @ Arizona Cardinals | Sep 20 | W 31-7 |
| 3 | @ Washington Commanders | Sep 27 | L 31-33 |
| 4 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | Oct 4 | W 30-23 |
| 5 | vs San Francisco 49ers | Oct 11 | L 29-32 |
| 6 | @ Denver Broncos | Oct 15 | L 14-17 |
| 7 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | Oct 25 | W 20-3 |
| 8 | vs Chicago Bears | Nov 2 | L 17-34 |
| 9 | vs Arizona Cardinals | Nov 8 | W 17-3 |
| 10 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | Nov 15 | 56.0% |
| 12 | @ San Francisco 49ers | Nov 29 | 25.9% |
| 13 | vs Dallas Cowboys | Dec 7 | 67.7% |
| 14 | vs New York Giants | Dec 13 | 70.3% |
| 15 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | Dec 19 | 70.7% |
| 16 | vs Los Angeles Rams | Dec 25 | 57.4% |
| 17 | @ Carolina Panthers | Jan 3 | 59.8% |
| 18 | @ Los Angeles Rams | Jan 10 | 39.5% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
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Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.