Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances 2026
Entering Week 10, the Ravens (4-5) make the playoffs in 4.8% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season, down 6.2 points from last week. They win the AFC North 0.1% of the time and the Super Bowl 0.0%, and finish with 7.2 wins on average. That's the 11th-best playoff outlook in the AFC.
Results through Monday, November 9 · 136 games left league-wide · updated every Tuesday.
AFC North race
| Team | Record | Proj. W | Win Div. | Playoffs | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | 12.7 | 74.4% | 98.7% | 7.2% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 11.2 | 24.3% | 88.9% | 1.5% |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 8.3 | 1.2% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | 7.2 | 0.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Ravens remaining schedule and win chances
The model gives the Ravens about 3.2 more wins in their last 8 games. Toughest: at Bengals in Week 17 (17.0%). Most winnable: vs Chargers in Week 10 (79.5%).
| Week | Opponent | Date | Result / win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Indianapolis Colts | Sep 13 | W 41-23 |
| 2 | vs New Orleans Saints | Sep 20 | L 17-24 |
| 3 | vs Dallas Cowboys (neutral site) | Sep 27 | W 34-31 |
| 4 | vs Tennessee Titans | Oct 4 | W 24-18 |
| 5 | @ Atlanta Falcons | Oct 11 | W 30-23 |
| 6 | @ Cleveland Browns | Oct 18 | L 10-13 |
| 7 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | Oct 25 | L 13-35 |
| 8 | @ Buffalo Bills | Nov 1 | L 10-36 |
| 9 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | Nov 5 | L 10-33 |
| 10 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | Nov 16 | 79.5% |
| 11 | @ Carolina Panthers | Nov 22 | 36.9% |
| 12 | @ Houston Texans | Nov 29 | 23.8% |
| 14 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Dec 13 | 40.5% |
| 15 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Dec 20 | 24.0% |
| 16 | vs Cleveland Browns | Dec 27 | 60.3% |
| 17 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | Dec 31 | 17.0% |
| 18 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | Jan 10 | 39.6% |
Win chances account for home field and current injuries.
Think the Ravens deserve better odds?
Take over the Ravens at Week 10 with their real roster and run the rest of the season yourself. Free, in your browser.
Take Over the Ravens →More on the Ravens
- Baltimore Ravens 2027 mock draft: every pick, team needs and the prospects in range
- Baltimore Ravens 2026 roster, with BS Football ratings
- Playoff odds for all 32 teams, and how the model works
Playoff chances for every team
AFC
Simulations for fun, not betting advice. BS Football is an independent simulation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Football League.